Project completed: ETAPEN – Data-driven Analysis of dynamic ETA Forecasts in Combined Road/Rail Transport

2023/12/20

What if dynamic forecasts of the ETA (Estimated Time of Arrival) could also be used reliably in combined road/rail freight transport (CT)? Our analyses show that accurate ETAs offer an enormous advantage.

In November, we celebrated the successful conclusion of our “ETAPEN” research project, which looked at the impact of dynamic ETA forecasts on pre- and post-carriage in CT. It was inspiring to welcome such a diverse group of participants – including our project leaders Prof. Elbert and our Research Associate Johannes Rentschler – from different industries to the final meeting.

The key project results are impressive: especially in situations with severely delayed trains, an accurate ETA forecast can lead to significant cost savings. Based on real data, our simulation showed that a good ETA can enable savings of 1.5% to 3% compared to a poor ETA. SME freight forwarders in particular could benefit from this.

The discussions were extremely stimulating and it was exciting to hear different perspectives from the industry. The mix of expertise and experience provided us with sound insights.

Many thanks to all participants for their valuable contributions and excellent cooperation! We look forward to deepening the results achieved and tackling future projects together.

The research project was funded via the AiF as part of the program for the promotion of joint industrial research (IGF) by the Federal Ministry of Economics and Climate Protection on the basis of a resolution of the German Bundestag. Find out more here